Super League
— Malawi
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 •
Aubrey Dimba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.26)
0.09 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 48.4% | 4.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
45.4%
1 - 0
31.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chitipa United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 45.4% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 6% | 22% |
| Defense | 89% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 40% | 13% | 28% | 50% | 0% | 28% |
| Draws | 30% | 38% | 33% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Loses | 30% | 50% | 39% | 10% | 63% | 33% |
Form: Creck: LLDWLDWWLLWLWDLDDD • Chitipa United: LDWLDLLDWWDDDDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Creck | Chitipa United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 44% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 17% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Creck | Chitipa United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Creck or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Creck = 0.70 (league 1.26), Chitipa United = 0.09 (league 0.87)
| Chitipa United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creck | 0 | 45.4% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 48.4% · Away win 4.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1