Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.45) 1.79 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 23.2% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit Penza 0 5.8% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack57%100%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zenit Penza Rodina Moskva III
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins27%20%24%36%30%33%
Draws27%10%19%36%20%29%
Loses45%70%57%27%50%38%

Form: Zenit Penza: DWLWWDWLLLDWLLLLLDLLL • Rodina Moskva III: DWWLDDWLLWDLDWLDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Zenit Penza Rodina Moskva III
HATHAT
GF total10818111930
GF avg0.90.80.91.01.91.4
GA total131629131730
GA avg1.21.61.41.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%90%76%76%
1.524%38%38%43%
2.55%10%10%19%
3.50%0%10%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
Wins22
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-10-6
Biggest losses0-23-01-34-2
Goals For3226
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricZenit PenzaRodina Moskva III
Form14%86%
Att31%69%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva III

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Superbet
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.47 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.07 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Marathonbet
No2.37 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zenit Penza = 1.05 (league 1.45), Rodina Moskva III = 1.79 (league 1.27)

Rodina Moskva III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit Penza 0 5.8% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1