Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.45)
0.80 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|
| 50.9% |
27.4% |
21.4% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Rodina Moskva III |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Metallurg Lipetsk |
0 |
11.0% |
8.8% |
3.5% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
15.5% |
12.4% |
5.0% |
1.3% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
10.9% |
8.7% |
3.5% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
5.1% |
4.1% |
1.6% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
1.8% |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
Metallurg Lipetsk |
Rodina Moskva III |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 50% | 45% | 48% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 24% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 30% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 55% | 39% |
Form: Metallurg Lipetsk: LLLWLWWWWDWWLWWWDLDDD • Rodina Moskva III: DWWLDDWLLWDLDWLDLWLLWLD
League goals
| Metric |
Metallurg Lipetsk |
Rodina Moskva III |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| GF total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| For | Against | For | Against |
|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 74% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 14% | 35% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 9% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Metallurg Lipetsk or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.74 @ Superbet
Draw3.62 @ Marathonbet
Away4.30 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
Marathonbet
Updated: 2025-10-04T04:01:24+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.69 |
| Draw |
3.62 |
| Away |
4.15 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.06 |
| Draw |
2.52 |
| Away |
4.25 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1.25 |
2.64 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.38 |
| Home -1 |
2.35 |
| Away -1 |
1.53 |
| Home -0.75 |
1.91 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.73 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.48 |
| Away -0.25 |
2.33 |
| Home +0 |
1.28 |
| Away +0 |
3.08 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.22 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.50 |
| Home -2 |
5.40 |
| Away -2 |
1.09 |
| Home +1 |
1.01 |
| Away +1 |
9.00 |
| Home -1.75 |
3.78 |
| Away -1.75 |
1.19 |
| Home -1.5 |
2.97 |
| Away -1.5 |
1.30 |
| Home -2.5 |
6.30 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.06 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.50 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.27 |
| Under 1.75 |
3.14 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.35 |
| Under 2.0 |
2.74 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.56 |
| Under 2.25 |
2.16 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.81 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.90 |
| Over 2.75 |
1.99 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.67 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.97 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.30 |
| Over 3.0 |
2.35 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.47 |
| Over 4.5 |
5.80 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.07 |
| Over 3.25 |
2.69 |
| Under 3.25 |
1.36 |
| Over 3.75 |
3.68 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.20 |
| Over 4.0 |
5.05 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.10 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.65 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.33 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.94 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.76 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.95 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.03 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.70 |
| Over 2.0 |
3.28 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.27 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.37 |
| Under 1.0 |
2.76 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.73 |
| No |
1.94 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1 |
2.97 |
| Away -1 |
1.94 |
| Draw -1 |
3.48 |
| Home -2 |
6.30 |
| Draw -2 |
5.25 |
| Away -2 |
1.32 |
| Home +1 |
1.15 |
| Draw +1 |
4.20 |
| Away +1 |
6.25 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.15 |
| Home/Away |
1.21 |
| Draw/Away |
1.94 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.27 |
| Draw |
2.17 |
| Away |
4.65 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.53 |
| Draw |
12.75 |
| Away |
2.60 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.54 |
| Draw |
12.75 |
| Away |
2.57 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.79 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.87 |
| Over 1 |
1.23 |
| Under 1 |
3.50 |
| Over 2 |
2.63 |
| Under 2 |
1.39 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
3.28 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.26 |
| Over 1 |
2.14 |
| Under 1 |
1.60 |
| Over 2 |
7.90 |
| Under 2 |
1.02 |
1xBet
Updated: 2025-10-04T04:01:24+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.71 |
| Draw |
3.62 |
| Away |
4.22 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.08 |
| Draw |
2.52 |
| Away |
4.39 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1.25 |
2.64 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.38 |
| Home -1 |
2.35 |
| Away -1 |
1.53 |
| Home -0.75 |
1.91 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.73 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.48 |
| Away -0.25 |
2.33 |
| Home +0 |
1.28 |
| Away +0 |
3.08 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.22 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.50 |
| Home -2 |
5.40 |
| Away -2 |
1.09 |
| Home +1 |
1.01 |
| Away +1 |
9.00 |
| Home -1.75 |
3.78 |
| Away -1.75 |
1.19 |
| Home -1.5 |
2.97 |
| Away -1.5 |
1.30 |
| Home +1.5 |
1.05 |
| Away +1.5 |
8.50 |
| Home -2.5 |
6.30 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.06 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.50 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.27 |
| Under 1.75 |
3.14 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.35 |
| Under 2.0 |
2.74 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.56 |
| Under 2.25 |
2.16 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.81 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.90 |
| Over 2.75 |
1.99 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.67 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.97 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.30 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
| Under 0.5 |
8.50 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.06 |
| Under 1.0 |
7.20 |
| Over 3.0 |
2.35 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.47 |
| Over 4.5 |
5.80 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.07 |
| Over 3.25 |
2.69 |
| Under 3.25 |
1.36 |
| Over 3.75 |
3.68 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.20 |
| Over 4.0 |
5.05 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.10 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.65 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.33 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.94 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.47 |
| Under 0.75 |
2.46 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.76 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.95 |
| Over 1.25 |
2.21 |
| Under 1.25 |
1.58 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.03 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.70 |
| Over 1.75 |
2.41 |
| Under 1.75 |
1.49 |
| Over 2.0 |
3.28 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.27 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.20 |
| Under 0.5 |
4.00 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.37 |
| Under 1.0 |
2.76 |
| Over 1.25 |
1.70 |
| Under 1.25 |
2.01 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.73 |
| No |
1.97 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Draw |
3.52 |
| 1st Half |
3.02 |
| 2nd Half |
2.01 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.15 |
| Home/Away |
1.21 |
| Draw/Away |
1.94 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.29 |
| Draw |
2.17 |
| Away |
4.84 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.77 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.93 |
| Over 2.5 |
3.40 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.27 |
| Over 3.5 |
6.90 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.07 |
| Over 1 |
1.25 |
| Under 1 |
3.45 |
| Over 2 |
2.60 |
| Under 2 |
1.45 |
| Over 3 |
6.00 |
| Under 3 |
1.09 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.14 |
| Under 0.5 |
5.00 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
3.25 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.30 |
| Over 1 |
2.17 |
| Under 1 |
1.62 |
| Over 2 |
7.90 |
| Under 2 |
1.02 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.50 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.45 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1 |
5.10 |
| Away -1 |
1.10 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.84 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.82 |
| Home +0 |
1.38 |
| Away +0 |
2.71 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.22 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.65 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.11 |
| Home/Away |
1.53 |
| Draw/Away |
1.48 |
Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.13 |
| Home/Away |
1.39 |
| Draw/Away |
1.59 |
Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
4.45 |
| No |
1.16 |
Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
3.28 |
| No |
1.28 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.83 |
| Even |
1.83 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.00 |
| Even |
1.69 |
Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.87 |
| Even |
1.79 |
Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.09 |
| Even |
1.63 |
Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1 |
3.78 |
| Away -1 |
1.19 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.72 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.95 |
| Home +0 |
1.36 |
| Away +0 |
2.79 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.24 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.48 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
1.72 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.95 |
Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
2.51 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.44 |
Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
1.49 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.38 |
Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
2.09 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.63 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.91 |
| Even |
1.76 |
Superbet
Updated: 2025-10-04T04:01:24+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.74 |
| Draw |
3.40 |
| Away |
4.30 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.27 |
| Away |
3.10 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.45 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.80 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.92 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.82 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.34 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
11.00 |
| Home/Away |
28.00 |
| Draw/Away |
8.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
5.10 |
| Home/Home |
2.70 |
| Draw/Home |
4.40 |
| Away/Home |
16.00 |
| Away/Draw |
11.00 |
| Away/Away |
6.40 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.73 |
| No |
2.00 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
6.50 |
| 2:0 |
7.20 |
| 2:1 |
7.00 |
| 3:0 |
11.00 |
| 3:1 |
10.00 |
| 3:2 |
17.00 |
| 4:0 |
19.00 |
| 4:1 |
19.00 |
| 0:0 |
8.90 |
| 1:1 |
5.90 |
| 2:2 |
11.00 |
| 0:1 |
10.00 |
| 0:2 |
17.00 |
| 0:3 |
35.00 |
| 1:2 |
11.00 |
| 1:3 |
23.00 |
| 2:3 |
26.00 |
| 3:3 |
33.00 |
| 0:4 |
70.00 |
| 1:4 |
55.00 |
| 2:4 |
60.00 |
| 4:2 |
30.00 |
| 3:4 |
75.00 |
| 4:3 |
60.00 |
| 4:4 |
90.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.15 |
| Home/Away |
1.24 |
| Draw/Away |
1.90 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.92 |
| Even |
1.78 |
Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Draw/Over 1.5 |
4.30 |
| Away/Over 1.5 |
5.50 |
| Home/Over 1.5 |
2.12 |
| Home/Under 1.5 |
6.70 |
| Draw/Under 1.5 |
9.30 |
| Away/Under 1.5 |
11.00 |
| Home/Over 2.5 |
2.65 |
| Draw/Over 2.5 |
9.40 |
| Away/Over 2.5 |
6.60 |
| Home/Under 2.5 |
4.10 |
| Draw/Under 2.5 |
4.30 |
| Away/Under 2.5 |
7.90 |
| Draw/Over 3.5 |
9.40 |
| Home/Over 3.5 |
4.45 |
| Away/Over 3.5 |
12.00 |
| Home/Under 3.5 |
2.52 |
| Draw/Under 3.5 |
4.30 |
| Away/Under 3.5 |
5.30 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Metallurg Lipetsk = 1.40 (league 1.45),
Rodina Moskva III = 0.80 (league 1.27)
|
|
Rodina Moskva III |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Metallurg Lipetsk |
0 |
11.0% |
8.8% |
3.5% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
15.5% |
12.4% |
5.0% |
1.3% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
10.9% |
8.7% |
3.5% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
5.1% |
4.1% |
1.6% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
1.8% |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 50.9% ·
Draw 27.4% ·
Away win 21.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
