Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.50)
0.78 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 28.0% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Rodina Moskva III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metallurg Lipetsk | 0 | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 50% | 45% | 48% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 24% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 30% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 55% | 39% |
Form: Metallurg Lipetsk: LLLWLWWWWDWWLWWWDLDDD • Rodina Moskva III: DWWLDDWLLWDLDWLDLWLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 74% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 14% | 35% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 9% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metallurg Lipetsk | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Metallurg Lipetsk or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.74 @ Superbet
Draw3.62 @ Marathonbet
Away4.30 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Metallurg Lipetsk = 1.36 (league 1.50), Rodina Moskva III = 0.78 (league 1.31)
| Rodina Moskva III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metallurg Lipetsk | 0 | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 21.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1