Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
5 - 0
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.50) 0.73 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 27.0% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Strogino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orel 0 11.4% 8.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrelStrogino
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack44%38%
Defense75%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orel Strogino
HATHAT
Played121426141327
Wins33%36%35%21%23%22%
Draws33%21%27%0%31%15%
Loses33%43%38%79%46%63%

Form: Orel: LLLWLLLWLDDDWWDLWDDWWDWLLW • Strogino: DWLLDLDLWLWWLLWLLLLDLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Orel Strogino
HATHAT
GF total141529151530
GF avg1.21.11.11.11.21.1
GA total102535422466
GA avg0.81.81.33.01.82.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrelStrogino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%65%56%89%
1.527%42%30%67%
2.512%15%22%48%
3.512%8%4%19%
4.54%4%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrelStrogino
HATHAT
Clean sheets549123
Failed to score56117512

Penalties

MetricOrelStrogino
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricOrelStrogino
Wins22
Draws31
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-63-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against2563

Model comparison

MetricOrelStrogino
Form70%30%
Att54%46%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Double chance : Orel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away5.67 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.35 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Marathonbet
No2.18 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orel = 1.44 (league 1.50), Strogino = 0.73 (league 1.31)

Strogino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orel 0 11.4% 8.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1