Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.57) 0.86 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.8% 22.7% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cherepovets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tver 0 6.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTverCherepovets
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack38%50%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tver Cherepovets
HATHAT
Played121123111223
Wins42%36%39%55%8%30%
Draws42%18%30%0%25%13%
Loses17%45%30%45%67%57%

Form: Tver: WLLLDWLWWWWDWDLWDLLDDDW • Cherepovets: LLLLLDLDLWLDWLWLWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Tver Cherepovets
HATHAT
GF total181634151126
GF avg1.51.51.51.40.91.1
GA total131730142337
GA avg1.11.51.31.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTverCherepovets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%70%74%
1.543%43%30%48%
2.517%13%9%26%
3.59%0%4%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTverCherepovets
HATHAT
Clean sheets426516
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricTverCherepovets
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTverCherepovets
Wins41
Draws31
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-44-1
Goals For4442
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricTverCherepovets
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Tver or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away3.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tver = 1.81 (league 1.57), Cherepovets = 0.86 (league 1.15)

Cherepovets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tver 0 6.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1