Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 • Chertanovo Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.57) 1.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 23.4% 31.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tver
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chertanovo Moscow 0 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChertanovo MoscowTver
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack62%54%
Defense38%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chertanovo Moscow Tver
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins50%17%33%38%36%38%
Draws8%25%17%46%18%33%
Loses42%58%50%15%45%29%

Form: Chertanovo Moscow: WDWWLLLLWLDDLDWLWLLLLLWW • Tver: WLLLDWLWWWWDWDLWDLLDDDWD

League goals

Metric Chertanovo Moscow Tver
HATHAT
GF total211738191635
GF avg1.81.41.61.51.51.5
GA total132740141731
GA avg1.12.31.71.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChertanovo MoscowTver
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%79%75%
1.546%54%42%42%
2.529%17%17%13%
3.513%13%8%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChertanovo MoscowTver
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score257235

Penalties

MetricChertanovo MoscowTver
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricChertanovo MoscowTver
Wins24
Draws23
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-02-4
Biggest losses2-45-01-33-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricChertanovo MoscowTver
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chertanovo Moscow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ Marathonbet
Away2.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.43 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Marathonbet
No2.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chertanovo Moscow = 1.72 (league 1.57), Tver = 1.43 (league 1.15)

Tver
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chertanovo Moscow 0 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 31.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1