Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 •
Baltika Stadium
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.57)
1.02 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.6% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.8%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cherepovets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baltika II | 0 | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 38% | 40% | 58% | 8% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 38% | 32% | 0% | 31% | 16% |
| Loses | 33% | 23% | 28% | 42% | 62% | 52% |
Form: Baltika II: DLDLDWWWWWDLLDWWLWWWDLLDD • Cherepovets: LLLLLDLDLWLDWLWLWLWLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 24 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baltika II | Cherepovets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 72% | 72% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 36% | 32% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 12% | 12% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baltika II | Cherepovets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cherepovets
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ Marathonbet
Away4.72 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Baltika II = 2.06 (league 1.57), Cherepovets = 1.02 (league 1.15)
| Cherepovets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baltika II | 0 | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 17.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
