Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • Baltika Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.57) 1.02 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 20.7% 17.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.8%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cherepovets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika II 0 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaltika IICherepovets
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack31%56%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baltika II Cherepovets
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%38%40%58%8%32%
Draws25%38%32%0%31%16%
Loses33%23%28%42%62%52%

Form: Baltika II: DLDLDWWWWWDLLDWWLWWWDLLDD • Cherepovets: LLLLLDLDLWLDWLWLWLWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Baltika II Cherepovets
HATHAT
GF total212041181230
GF avg1.81.51.61.50.91.2
GA total161531152439
GA avg1.31.21.21.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaltika IICherepovets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%72%72%76%
1.552%36%32%44%
2.528%12%12%24%
3.58%4%4%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaltika IICherepovets
HATHAT
Clean sheets347516
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricBaltika IICherepovets
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricBaltika IICherepovets
Wins51
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-44-1
Goals For4442
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricBaltika IICherepovets
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cherepovets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ Marathonbet
Away4.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baltika II = 2.06 (league 1.57), Cherepovets = 1.02 (league 1.15)

Cherepovets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika II 0 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1