Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 18:45 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.11 (league 1.90) 0.88 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 40.9% 54.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.4%
0 - 1
32.8%
0 - 2
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Netherlands
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malta 0 37.4% 32.8% 14.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaltaNetherlands
Played54
Form13%83%
Attack6%78%
Defense33%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.214 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malta Netherlands
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins0%0%0%50%100%75%
Draws50%33%40%50%0%25%
Loses50%67%60%0%0%0%

Form: Malta: LLDLD • Netherlands: WWDW

League goals

Metric Malta Netherlands
HATHAT
GF total0119514
GF avg0.00.30.24.52.53.5
GA total11112123
GA avg0.53.72.40.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaltaNetherlands
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%80%100%50%
1.50%40%75%25%
2.50%20%50%0%
3.50%20%25%0%
4.50%20%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaltaNetherlands
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricMaltaNetherlands
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMaltaNetherlands
Wins02
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——8-00-2
Biggest losses0-18-0——
Goals For0183
Goals Against1812

Model comparison

MetricMaltaNetherlands
Form17%83%
Att7%93%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total14.7%85.3%

Advice: Winner : Netherlands

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home51.00 @ Betfair
Draw18.50 @ Pinnacle
Away1.08 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Malta = 0.11 (league 1.90), Netherlands = 0.88 (league 1.42)

Netherlands
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malta 0 37.4% 32.8% 14.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 54.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1