Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:45 • PreZero Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.78) 0.34 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 6.2% 1.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
14.0%
4 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Germany 0 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGermanyLuxembourg
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack17%6%
Defense83%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Germany Luxembourg
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%0%50%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%100%

Form: Germany: LW • Luxembourg: LL

League goals

Metric Germany Luxembourg
HATHAT
GF total303101
GF avg3.00.01.50.50.00.5
GA total123404
GA avg1.02.01.52.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGermanyLuxembourg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.550%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGermanyLuxembourg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricGermanyLuxembourg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGermanyLuxembourg
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses2-01-3
Goals For3010
Goals Against1230

Model comparison

MetricGermanyLuxembourg
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Germany or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.04 @ Marathonbet
Draw23.00 @ Betfair
Away80.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.45 @ Unibet
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Germany = 3.36 (league 1.78), Luxembourg = 0.34 (league 1.47)

Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Germany 0 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 1.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1