Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:45 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.60 (league 1.78) 0.34 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 1.1% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
12.1%
4 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Azerbaijan
0 1 2 3 4 5
France 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFranceAzerbaijan
Played22
Form100%17%
Attack22%6%
Defense94%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 21 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.56 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric France Azerbaijan
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: France: WW • Azerbaijan: LD

League goals

Metric France Azerbaijan
HATHAT
GF total224101
GF avg2.02.02.01.00.00.5
GA total101156
GA avg1.00.00.51.05.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFranceAzerbaijan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.5100%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%50%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFranceAzerbaijan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFranceAzerbaijan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFranceAzerbaijan
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2
Biggest losses5-0
Goals For2210
Goals Against1015

Model comparison

MetricFranceAzerbaijan
Form86%14%
Att80%20%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total84.0%16.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.02 @ William Hill
Draw56.00 @ Betfair
Away151.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.11 @ Betano
Under 2.58.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.40 @ 888Sport
No1.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): France = 5.60 (league 1.78), Azerbaijan = 0.34 (league 1.47)

Azerbaijan
0 1 2 3 4 5
France 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 1.1% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1