Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:00 • Johan Cruijff ArenA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.29 (league 1.78) 0.44 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.3% 3.5% 1.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
12.4%
3 - 0
11.6%
5 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Finland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands 0 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNetherlandsFinland
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%58%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Netherlands Finland
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins50%100%80%67%33%50%
Draws50%0%20%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%33%33%

Form: Netherlands: WWDWW • Finland: WDLWLW

League goals

Metric Netherlands Finland
HATHAT
GF total9918448
GF avg4.53.03.61.31.31.3
GA total123459
GA avg0.50.70.61.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNetherlandsFinland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%83%83%
1.580%20%50%50%
2.560%0%0%17%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNetherlandsFinland
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNetherlandsFinland
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNetherlandsFinland
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-42-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-1
Goals For8422
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricNetherlandsFinland
Form65%35%
Att72%28%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total75.8%24.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Netherlands and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ 1xBet
Draw10.75 @ Pinnacle
Away37.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Betano
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Netherlands = 4.29 (league 1.78), Finland = 0.44 (league 1.47)

Finland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands 0 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 3.5% · Away win 1.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1