Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 18:45 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.90) 2.10 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 20.1% 37.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
6.9%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Germany
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.3% 4.9% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthern IrelandGermany
Played33
Form67%67%
Attack43%50%
Defense71%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 27 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northern Ireland Germany
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%100%0%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%0%100%33%

Form: Northern Ireland: WLW • Germany: LWW

League goals

Metric Northern Ireland Germany
HATHAT
GF total246707
GF avg2.02.02.03.50.02.3
GA total044123
GA avg0.02.01.30.52.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthern IrelandGermany
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.567%33%67%33%
2.533%33%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthern IrelandGermany
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricNorthern IrelandGermany
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNorthern IrelandGermany
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-0—
Biggest losses—3-1—2-0
Goals For2340
Goals Against0312

Model comparison

MetricNorthern IrelandGermany
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals16%84%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Germany

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Betano
Draw5.40 @ Unibet
Away1.43 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northern Ireland = 2.11 (league 1.90), Germany = 2.10 (league 1.42)

Germany
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.3% 4.9% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1