Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 • José Zorrilla
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.90) 0.05 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.0% 4.7% 0.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
20.1%
4 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bulgaria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain 0 4.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpainBulgaria
Played33
Form100%0%
Attack69%6%
Defense100%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 3.71 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 012 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spain Bulgaria
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%

Form: Spain: WWW • Bulgaria: LLL

League goals

Metric Spain Bulgaria
HATHAT
GF total2911101
GF avg2.04.53.70.50.00.3
GA total0009312
GA avg0.00.00.04.53.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpainBulgaria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%33%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.567%0%0%100%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.533%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpainBulgaria
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSpainBulgaria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSpainBulgaria
Wins30
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-6
Biggest losses1-63-0
Goals For2610
Goals Against0063

Model comparison

MetricSpainBulgaria
Form100%0%
Att92%8%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total92.0%8.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Spain and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.03 @ 1xBet
Draw41.00 @ Betfair
Away76.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.15 @ Betano
Under 2.56.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.20 @ 188Bet
No1.42 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spain = 3.16 (league 1.90), Bulgaria = 0.05 (league 1.42)

Bulgaria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain 0 4.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.0% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1