Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 • Bluenergy Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
3.69 (league 1.90) 2.59 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 14.5% 21.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
4 - 2
4.9%
3 - 3
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Israel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
2 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
3 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
4 1.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
5 1.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricItalyIsrael
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%87%
Defense47%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 313 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Italy Israel
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins100%67%80%33%67%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%67%33%50%

Form: Italy: LWWWW • Israel: WLWWLL

League goals

Metric Italy Israel
HATHAT
GF total78158715
GF avg3.52.73.02.72.32.5
GA total08810616
GA avg0.02.71.63.32.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineItalyIsrael
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%83%83%
1.580%40%83%50%
2.560%40%50%50%
3.540%20%33%50%
4.540%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricItalyIsrael
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricItalyIsrael
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricItalyIsrael
Wins02
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-10-4
Biggest losses—3-02-45-0
Goals For5544
Goals Against0455

Model comparison

MetricItalyIsrael
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals68%32%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Italy or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ 188Bet
Draw7.80 @ 1xBet
Away16.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Italy = 3.69 (league 1.90), Israel = 2.59 (league 1.42)

Israel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
2 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
3 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
4 1.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
5 1.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 21.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1