Thu, Nov 13 2025 • 19:45 • Parc des Princes
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.90) 1.05 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 16.0% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
8.7%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ukraine
0 1 2 3 4 5
France 0 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFranceUkraine
Played44
Form83%58%
Attack45%40%
Defense85%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric France Ukraine
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: France: WWWD • Ukraine: LDWW

League goals

Metric France Ukraine
HATHAT
GF total549268
GF avg2.52.02.31.03.02.0
GA total123347
GA avg0.51.00.81.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFranceUkraine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%100%
1.5100%25%50%50%
2.525%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFranceUkraine
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricFranceUkraine
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFranceUkraine
Wins30
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-13-5
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For3225
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricFranceUkraine
Form59%41%
Att53%47%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals79%21%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : France or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.09 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): France = 2.64 (league 1.90), Ukraine = 1.05 (league 1.42)

Ukraine
0 1 2 3 4 5
France 0 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 12.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1