Thu, Nov 13 2025 • 19:45 • Stadionul Zimbru
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.90) 7.60 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 0.8% 22.0%
best score tips
0 - 5
3.9%
1 - 5
3.9%
0 - 4
2.6%
Score & goals probability table
Italy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moldova 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoldovaItaly
Played55
Form7%100%
Attack20%90%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.818 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)21 | 4.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

69%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moldova Italy
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%100%67%83%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses100%67%83%0%33%17%

Form: Moldova: LLLLLD • Italy: LWWWWW

League goals

Metric Moldova Italy
HATHAT
GF total22410818
GF avg0.70.70.73.32.73.0
GA total121426088
GA avg4.04.74.30.02.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoldovaItaly
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%83%50%
1.517%83%83%33%
2.50%67%67%33%
3.50%50%33%17%
4.50%33%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoldovaItaly
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricMoldovaItaly
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMoldovaItaly
Wins00
Draws00
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-01-3
Biggest losses0-511-1—3-0
Goals For2155
Goals Against51104

Model comparison

MetricMoldovaItaly
Form6%94%
Att18%82%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total13.8%86.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Italy and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home40.00 @ Betano
Draw12.00 @ Bet365
Away1.11 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ 188Bet
No1.50 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moldova = 1.00 (league 1.90), Italy = 7.60 (league 1.42)

Italy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moldova 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1