Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 19:45 • Stade de Luxembourg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.90) 0.70 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 45.4% 42.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.0%
0 - 1
26.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Germany
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luxembourg 0 38.0% 26.7% 9.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuxembourgGermany
Played44
Form0%75%
Attack9%73%
Defense9%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 2.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luxembourg Germany
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%0%50%25%

Form: Luxembourg: LLLL • Germany: LWWW

League goals

Metric Luxembourg Germany
HATHAT
GF total101718
GF avg0.50.00.33.50.52.0
GA total4610123
GA avg2.03.02.50.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuxembourgGermany
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%75%50%
1.50%75%50%25%
2.50%50%50%0%
3.50%25%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuxembourgGermany
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricLuxembourgGermany
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLuxembourgGermany
Wins00
Draws00
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-00-1
Biggest losses1-34-0—2-0
Goals For1041
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricLuxembourgGermany
Form0%100%
Att11%89%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total21.0%79.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Germany

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home30.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw12.59 @ Pinnacle
Away1.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Betano
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ Betfair
No1.58 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luxembourg = 0.26 (league 1.90), Germany = 0.70 (league 1.42)

Germany
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luxembourg 0 38.0% 26.7% 9.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 45.4% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1