Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 19:45 • National Stadium Warsaw
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.90) 0.63 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 38.7% 27.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.4%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Netherlands
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland 0 25.4% 16.1% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 11.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolandNetherlands
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack82%100%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.820 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poland Netherlands
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%67%100%83%
Draws0%33%17%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: Poland: WWLDWW • Netherlands: WWDWWW

League goals

Metric Poland Netherlands
HATHAT
GF total641013922
GF avg2.01.31.74.33.03.7
GA total134123
GA avg0.31.00.70.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolandNetherlands
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.550%17%83%17%
2.517%0%67%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolandNetherlands
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPolandNetherlands
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPolandNetherlands
Wins22
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-28-00-4
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For3284
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricPolandNetherlands
Form43%57%
Att31%69%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Netherlands

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.01 @ 1xBet
Draw4.01 @ 1xBet
Away1.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.24 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poland = 0.74 (league 1.90), Netherlands = 0.63 (league 1.42)

Netherlands
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poland 0 25.4% 16.1% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 11.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 27.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1