Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 19:45 • San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.90) 2.55 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 17.4% 61.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.8%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Norway
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy 0 2.3% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 4.1% 2.1%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricItalyNorway
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack86%100%
Defense76%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.624 | 4.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Italy Norway
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%75%86%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Italy: LWWWWWW • Norway: WWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Italy Norway
HATHAT
GF total101020231033
GF avg3.32.52.95.83.34.7
GA total088224
GA avg0.02.01.10.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineItalyNorway
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%100%43%
1.586%29%86%14%
2.557%29%86%0%
3.529%14%71%0%
4.529%0%43%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricItalyNorway
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricItalyNorway
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 50.00%
Total22

Streaks

MetricItalyNorway
Wins07
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-311-10-5
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For55115
Goals Against0412

Model comparison

MetricItalyNorway
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Winner : Norway

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Italy = 1.22 (league 1.90), Norway = 2.55 (league 1.42)

Norway
0 1 2 3 4 5
Italy 0 2.3% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 4.1% 2.1%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 61.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1