Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 19:45 • Johan Cruijff Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.90) 0.06 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.3% 11.2% 0.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
22.0%
3 - 0
18.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lithuania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands 0 9.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNetherlandsLithuania
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack68%21%
Defense79%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Netherlands Lithuania
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%0%0%0%
Draws33%25%29%50%33%43%
Loses0%0%0%50%67%57%

Form: Netherlands: WWDWWWD • Lithuania: LDDDLLL

League goals

Metric Netherlands Lithuania
HATHAT
GF total131023516
GF avg4.32.53.31.30.30.9
GA total1348311
GA avg0.30.80.62.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNetherlandsLithuania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%57%86%
1.571%14%29%57%
2.557%0%0%14%
3.543%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNetherlandsLithuania
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricNetherlandsLithuania
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricNetherlandsLithuania
Wins30
Draws13
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-4——
Biggest losses——0-22-1
Goals For8421
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricNetherlandsLithuania
Form85%15%
Att76%24%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution97%3%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Netherlands

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.10 @ 1xBet
Draw16.00 @ Betfair
Away41.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.26 @ Betano
Under 2.54.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Netherlands = 2.27 (league 1.90), Lithuania = 0.06 (league 1.42)

Lithuania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Netherlands 0 9.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.3% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1