Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 19:45 •
Johan Cruijff Arena
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.89)
0.06 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.4% | 11.1% | 0.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
22.0%
3 - 0
18.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lithuania | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Netherlands | 0 | 9.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 25.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 18.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 13% |
| Attack | 68% | 21% |
| Defense | 79% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
NetherlandsWWDWWWD
LithuaniaLDDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Netherlands | Lithuania | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Netherlands | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 85% | 15% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 97% | 3% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 77.0% | 23.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.10 @ 1xBet
Draw16.00 @ Betfair
Away41.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.26 @ Betano
Under 2.54.20 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill
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League standings
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