Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.51) 0.73 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 14.1% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orenburg II 0 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrenburg IINosta
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack62%15%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orenburg II Nosta
HATHAT
Played111122101222
Wins55%27%41%20%17%18%
Draws36%45%41%20%17%18%
Loses9%27%18%60%67%64%

Form: Orenburg II: WWDDWDDDWDLLDWWLDWLWWD • Nosta: LWLLWLWDLLDWDLLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Orenburg II Nosta
HATHAT
GF total21163714923
GF avg1.91.51.71.40.81.0
GA total121123222547
GA avg1.11.01.02.22.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrenburg IINosta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%64%95%
1.555%32%32%68%
2.523%9%9%27%
3.59%0%0%14%
4.59%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrenburg IINosta
HATHAT
Clean sheets358011
Failed to score336268

Penalties

MetricOrenburg IINosta
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 50.00%
Total34

Streaks

MetricOrenburg IINosta
Wins21
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-53-11-2
Biggest losses0-32-02-55-0
Goals For5532
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricOrenburg IINosta
Form91%9%
Att80%20%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Winner : Orenburg II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Superbet
Draw5.20 @ Marathonbet
Away9.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.28 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orenburg II = 2.63 (league 1.51), Nosta = 0.73 (league 1.21)

Nosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orenburg II 0 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1