Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadion Shakhter
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.98)
1.39 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 23.2% | 30.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Zhetisay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shakhter Karagandy | 0 | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 92% | 100% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 45% | 57% | 50% | 64% | 57% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Loses | 10% | 27% | 19% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Form: Shakhter Karagandy: WWWDDWWLWWWLLWWLWDDWD • Zhetisay: WLWLLDWWLLWWLDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 18 | 47 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 19 | 31 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 81% | 81% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 43% | 43% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 19% | 29% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shakhter Karagandy | Zhetisay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Shakhter Karagandy or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shakhter Karagandy = 1.76 (league 1.98), Zhetisay = 1.39 (league 1.55)
| Zhetisay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shakhter Karagandy | 0 | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 30.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1