Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz

1. Division — Kazakhstan

Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 10:00 • Shakhter Stadion

Match Finished

Shakhter Karagandy

2 - 0

Taraz

Expected Goals

3.13 (league 1.98) 0.85 (league 1.55)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
72.1%	11.3%	6.8%

best score tips

3 - 0

9.6%

2 - 0

9.2%

3 - 1

8.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Taraz
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Shakhter Karagandy	0	1.9%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	5.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	9.2%	7.8%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	9.6%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	7.5%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	4.7%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy	Taraz
Played	5	5
Form	73%	80%
Attack	68%	53%
Defense	74%	58%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

71%

FT probability

3.5+

51%

FT probability

BTTS

76%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy			Taraz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	12	11	23
Wins	73%	50%	61%	50%	27%	39%
Draws	18%	25%	22%	25%	9%	17%
Loses	9%	25%	17%	25%	64%	43%

Form: Shakhter Karagandy: WWWDDWWLWWWLLWWLWDDWDWW • Taraz: LWWLLDDLLDLWLDLLWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy			Taraz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	34	20	54	26	13	39
GF avg	3.1	1.7	2.3	2.2	1.2	1.7
GA total	12	19	31	12	22	34
GA avg	1.1	1.6	1.3	1.0	2.0	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Shakhter Karagandy		Taraz
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	91%	74%	83%	70%
1.5	78%	39%	39%	39%
2.5	39%	17%	26%	22%
3.5	22%	4%	13%	9%
4.5	4%	0%	4%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy			Taraz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	2	6	4	3	7
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy	Taraz
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0

Streaks

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy	Taraz
Wins	3	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	0-2	6-0	0-4
Biggest losses	2-3	4-0	1-2	6-0
Goals For	5	3	6	4
Goals Against	3	4	3	6

Model comparison

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy	Taraz
Form	48%	52%
Att	57%	43%
Def	62%	38%
Poisson Distribution	79%	21%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	43%	57%
Total	56.5%	43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shakhter Karagandy or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ 10Bet

Draw5.50 @ Betfair

Away12.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet

No2.00 @ Betfair

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

10Bet Updated: 2025-10-03T09:47:35+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.20
Draw	5.00
Away	11.00

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.03
Away	8.00

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -2	2.00
Away -2	1.77
Home -1.5	1.80
Away -1.5	1.93

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 3.5	1.85
Under 3.5	1.73

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.85
Under 1.5	1.73

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	19.00
Home/Away	51.00
Draw/Away	21.00
Draw/Draw	9.50
Home/Home	1.57
Draw/Home	4.20
Away/Home	21.00
Away/Draw	23.00
Away/Away	21.00

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -2	2.45
Draw -2	3.90
Away -2	2.20

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.00
2:0	6.50
2:1	8.00
3:0	7.00
3:1	8.00
3:2	17.00
4:0	9.50
4:1	11.00
0:0	15.00
1:1	10.00
2:2	17.00
0:1	31.00
0:2	67.00
0:3	81.00
1:2	26.00
1:3	71.00
2:3	56.00
3:3	51.00
1:4	101.00
2:4	91.00
4:2	23.00
3:4	101.00
5:0	17.00
5:1	19.00
5:2	41.00
6:0	34.00
6:1	34.00
6:2	67.00
4:3	67.00
5:3	91.00
7:0	67.00
7:1	67.00
7:2	126.00
8:0	126.00
8:1	126.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.45
2:0	4.00
2:1	9.50
3:0	8.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	61.00
4:0	19.00
4:1	41.00
0:0	4.20
1:1	7.00
2:2	34.00
0:1	9.50
0:2	41.00
1:2	29.00
1:3	81.00
5:0	51.00
5:1	91.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.02
Home/Away	1.11
Draw/Away	3.10

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Draw	3.00
Away	8.50

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-10-03T09:47:35+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.19
Draw	5.30
Away	12.25

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.38
Draw	3.62
Away	8.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	1.42
Away -1.25	2.50
Home -1	1.27
Away -1	3.14
Home -0.75	1.23
Away -0.75	3.42
Home -0.25	1.10
Away -0.25	5.10
Home +0	1.01
Away +0	8.90
Home -3	3.08
Away -3	1.28
Home -2	1.83
Away -2	1.79
Home -1.75	1.67
Away -1.75	1.98
Home -1.5	1.59
Away -1.5	2.22
Home -2.5	2.24
Away -2.5	1.52
Home -2.25	2.04
Away -2.25	1.63
Home -3.5	3.58
Away -3.5	1.21

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.13
Under 2.0	4.60
Over 2.25	1.25
Under 2.25	3.28
Over 2.5	1.36
Under 2.5	2.70
Over 2.75	1.43
Under 2.75	2.46
Over 3.5	1.90
Under 3.5	1.81
Over 3.0	1.53
Under 3.0	2.21
Over 4.5	2.83
Under 4.5	1.33
Over 3.25	1.70
Under 3.25	1.94
Over 3.75	2.06
Under 3.75	1.62
Over 4.0	2.38
Under 4.0	1.46
Over 4.25	2.62
Under 4.25	1.38
Over 4.75	3.28
Under 4.75	1.25
Over 5.0	4.20
Under 5.0	1.16

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.05
Under 1.5	1.69
Over 2.0	3.22
Under 2.0	1.28
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.43

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.52
Under 1.5	2.30
Over 2.0	1.93
Under 2.0	1.78
Over 2.5	2.51
Under 2.5	1.44

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.84
No	1.82

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	1.59
Away -1	3.72
Draw -1	4.35
Home -2	2.24
Draw -2	4.25
Away -2	2.22

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.02
Home/Away	1.09
Draw/Away	3.72

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.64
Draw	2.50
Away	9.20

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.22
Draw	15.25
Away	4.33

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.22
Draw	15.25
Away	4.33

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.73
Under 2.5	1.95
Over 2	1.36
Under 2	2.75
Over 3	2.16
Under 3	1.57

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.80
Under 1.5	1.12
Over 1	3.34
Under 1	1.26
Over 2	7.90
Under 2	1.02
Over 0.5	1.76
Under 0.5	1.91

Betfair Updated: 2025-10-03T09:47:35+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.17
Draw	5.50
Away	10.50

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.07
Under 1.5	7.00
Over 2.5	1.33
Under 2.5	3.00
Over 3.5	1.95
Under 3.5	1.75
Over 4.5	3.20
Under 4.5	1.30
Over 5.5	5.50
Under 5.5	1.11

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	71.00
Draw/Away	19.00
Draw/Draw	10.00
Home/Home	1.67
Draw/Home	4.33
Away/Home	15.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	15.00

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.73
No	2.00

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -2	2.50
Draw -2	4.00
Away -2	2.10

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.00
2:0	7.00
2:1	7.50
3:0	7.50
3:1	8.50
3:2	17.00
4:0	10.00
4:1	12.00
0:0	21.00
1:1	10.00
2:2	15.00
0:1	29.00
0:2	67.00
1:2	23.00
2:3	67.00
3:3	61.00
4:2	23.00
5:0	17.00
5:1	21.00
5:2	51.00
6:0	36.00
6:1	46.00

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.57
Draw	2.88
Away	7.50

Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals

Selection	Odds
Draw/Over 1.5	7.00
Away/Over 1.5	13.00
Home/Over 1.5	1.30
Home/Under 1.5	10.00
Draw/Under 1.5	26.00
Away/Under 1.5	31.00
Draw/Over 3.5	14.00
Home/Over 3.5	2.20
Away/Over 3.5	31.00
Home/Under 3.5	2.40
Draw/Under 3.5	8.50
Away/Under 3.5	14.00
Home/Over 4.5	3.40
Draw/Over 4.5	56.00
Away/Over 4.5	41.00
Home/Under 4.5	1.73
Draw/Under 4.5	6.50
Away/Under 4.5	12.00

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz

Expected goals (λ): Shakhter Karagandy = 3.13 (league 1.98), Taraz = 0.85 (league 1.55)

		Taraz
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Shakhter Karagandy	0	1.9%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	5.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	9.2%	7.8%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	9.6%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	7.5%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	4.7%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy	Taraz
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0