Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 •
BS Arena
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.98)
0.98 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3% | 17.4% | 13.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Shakhter Karagandy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kaspiy | 0 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 87% |
| Attack | 57% | 52% |
| Defense | 78% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 75% | 92% | 83% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Loses | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
Form: Kaspiy: WWWWLWWWWWWDWDWWLWWWWWWW • Shakhter Karagandy: WWWDDWWLWWWLLWWLWDDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 33 | 69 | 36 | 20 | 56 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 58% | 92% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 25% | 79% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 8% | 38% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 4% | 21% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 10-0 | 1-6 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kaspiy | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Kaspiy or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kaspiy = 2.42 (league 1.98), Shakhter Karagandy = 0.98 (league 1.55)
| Shakhter Karagandy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kaspiy | 0 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 13.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1