Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Libertadores de América
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.02)
0.73 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.5% | 31.1% | 23.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Platense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente | 0 | 15.3% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 14% | 43% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente | Platense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 20% | 33% | 29% | 47% | 39% |
| Draws | 27% | 47% | 37% | 57% | 12% | 32% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 14% | 41% | 29% |
Form: Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWLDLLDLDLDDDL • Platense: DWLWLDDLDWWLDWWLWWWWLDDDWLWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Independiente | Platense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente | Platense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 71% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente | Platense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 41.2% | 59.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Platense and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Independiente = 1.15 (league 1.02), Platense = 0.73 (league 0.74)
| Platense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente | 0 | 15.3% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 23.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1