Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Libertadores de América
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.00) 0.73 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 30.7% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Platense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 15.0% 10.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependientePlatense
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack17%33%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Platense
HATHAT
Played151631141832
Wins47%19%32%29%44%38%
Draws27%44%35%57%11%31%
Loses27%38%32%14%44%31%

Form: Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWLDLLDLDLDDDLL • Platense: DWLWLDDLDWWLDWWLWWWWLDDDWLWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Independiente Platense
HATHAT
GF total191231131629
GF avg1.30.81.00.90.90.9
GA total91726121729
GA avg0.61.10.80.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependientePlatense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%61%69%66%
1.529%23%22%19%
2.510%0%0%6%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependientePlatense
HATHAT
Clean sheets84125611
Failed to score58135510

Penalties

MetricIndependientePlatense
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricIndependientePlatense
Wins34
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricIndependientePlatense
Form60%40%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Independiente or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente = 1.17 (league 1.00), Platense = 0.73 (league 0.74)

Platense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 15.0% 10.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1