Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.02) 0.38 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 36.7% 14.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
1 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 26.3% 9.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependienteSan Lorenzo
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack8%23%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente San Lorenzo
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins54%23%38%50%31%41%
Draws31%38%35%29%46%37%
Loses15%38%27%21%23%22%

Form: Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWDDLLDLDL • San Lorenzo: WWDDWWLWLDDWWDLDWDLWDDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Independiente San Lorenzo
HATHAT
GF total18112913922
GF avg1.40.81.10.90.70.8
GA total515209918
GA avg0.41.20.80.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependienteSan Lorenzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%54%59%48%
1.535%23%19%19%
2.512%0%4%0%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependienteSan Lorenzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets93127714
Failed to score46105611

Penalties

MetricIndependienteSan Lorenzo
Scored (total | %)9 | 81.82%12 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)2 | 18.18%0 | 0%
Total1112

Streaks

MetricIndependienteSan Lorenzo
Wins32
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-20-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricIndependienteSan Lorenzo
Form22%78%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Independiente or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away4.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.55 @ Betano
Under 2.51.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.83 @ Pinnacle
No1.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente = 0.96 (league 1.02), San Lorenzo = 0.38 (league 0.74)

San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 26.3% 9.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1