Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Claudio Fabián Tapia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.00) 0.95 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 18.8% 14.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barracas Central 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack78%56%
Defense56%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barracas Central Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Played111425121123
Wins55%36%44%17%18%17%
Draws18%43%32%67%36%52%
Loses27%21%24%17%45%30%

Form: Barracas Central: LDWWDDWLDDWLWLWWLWLWWDDWD • Sarmiento Junin: LDLDLWLDDDDDWLDDDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Barracas Central Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
GF total17143112618
GF avg1.51.01.21.00.50.8
GA total151429121628
GA avg1.41.01.21.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%72%57%70%
1.532%24%22%35%
2.516%20%0%9%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Clean sheets347347
Failed to score1564610

Penalties

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
Wins21
Draws25
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-00-25-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento Junin
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Barracas Central or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away3.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.54 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barracas Central = 2.24 (league 1.00), Sarmiento Junin = 0.95 (league 0.74)

Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barracas Central 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1