Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.03) 1.08 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 34.0% 55.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.9%
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 2
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rosario Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 24.9% 26.9% 14.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
1 7.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%44%
Defense22%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Rosario Central
HATHAT
Played131225151126
Wins38%17%28%60%36%50%
Draws23%17%20%33%55%42%
Loses38%67%52%7%9%8%

Form: Gimnasia L.P.: LLLWDWWLDLDLDLLWLDWWLLWLL • Rosario Central: WWDWDWWLDWDWDWWWWLDWDDDWDD

League goals

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Rosario Central
HATHAT
GF total1141521930
GF avg0.80.30.61.40.81.2
GA total1314279413
GA avg1.01.21.10.60.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%64%69%46%
1.58%32%35%4%
2.54%12%12%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
HATHAT
Clean sheets6396814
Failed to score4913268

Penalties

MetricGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
Wins24
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-11-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
Form30%70%
Att43%57%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rosario Central and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.31 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia L.P. = 0.31 (league 1.03), Rosario Central = 1.08 (league 0.74)

Rosario Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 24.9% 26.9% 14.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
1 7.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1