Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.00) 1.08 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 26.7% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Barracas Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estudiantes L.P. 0 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack67%67%
Defense17%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Barracas Central
HATHAT
Played121527131427
Wins67%13%37%46%36%41%
Draws17%33%26%23%43%33%
Loses17%53%37%31%21%26%

Form: Estudiantes L.P.: WDWDWDWWLDLLDLDLLLWWWLWLLWD • Barracas Central: LDWWDDWLDDWLWLWWLWLWWDDWDLD

League goals

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Barracas Central
HATHAT
GF total171229181432
GF avg1.40.81.11.41.01.2
GA total92332171431
GA avg0.81.51.21.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%74%74%
1.533%37%30%22%
2.57%7%15%19%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
HATHAT
Clean sheets538347
Failed to score279257

Penalties

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
Wins32
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-33-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals68%32%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Estudiantes L.P. or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away7.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.58 @ 188Bet
No1.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estudiantes L.P. = 1.39 (league 1.00), Barracas Central = 1.08 (league 0.74)

Barracas Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estudiantes L.P. 0 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1