Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Eva Peron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.01) 0.41 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 31.5% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.2%
0 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnasia L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Junin 0 20.4% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack50%20%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarmiento Junin Gimnasia L.P.
HATHAT
Played121325141226
Wins17%23%20%36%17%27%
Draws67%31%48%21%17%19%
Loses17%46%32%43%67%54%

Form: Sarmiento Junin: LDLDLWLDDDDDWLDDDDLWDLWWL • Gimnasia L.P.: LLLWDWWLDLDLDLLWLDWWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Sarmiento Junin Gimnasia L.P.
HATHAT
GF total1271911415
GF avg1.00.50.80.80.30.6
GA total121729161430
GA avg1.01.31.21.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%68%46%65%
1.520%32%8%35%
2.50%8%4%15%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
HATHAT
Clean sheets358639
Failed to score47115914

Penalties

MetricSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
Wins22
Draws51
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricSarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
Form70%30%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sarmiento Junin or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 188Bet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarmiento Junin = 1.18 (league 1.01), Gimnasia L.P. = 0.41 (league 0.74)

Gimnasia L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Junin 0 20.4% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1