Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 00:15 • Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.00) 0.98 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 33.9% 40.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosario Central 0 18.8% 18.3% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRosario CentralRiver Plate
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rosario Central River Plate
HATHAT
Played151227161228
Wins60%42%52%63%33%50%
Draws33%50%41%19%58%36%
Loses7%8%7%19%8%14%

Form: Rosario Central: WWDWDWWLDWDWDWWWWLDWDDDWDDW • River Plate: DWDWDWWLWDDDDWWWWLWWDDWDWWLL

League goals

Metric Rosario Central River Plate
HATHAT
GF total211233281442
GF avg1.41.01.21.81.21.5
GA total941314620
GA avg0.60.30.50.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRosario CentralRiver Plate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%44%75%50%
1.537%4%43%21%
2.515%0%21%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRosario CentralRiver Plate
HATHAT
Clean sheets69157714
Failed to score268257

Penalties

MetricRosario CentralRiver Plate
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricRosario CentralRiver Plate
Wins44
Draws34
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-4
Biggest losses0-11-00-22-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricRosario CentralRiver Plate
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h15%85%
Goals23%77%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or River Plate and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rosario Central = 0.70 (league 1.00), River Plate = 0.98 (league 0.74)

River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosario Central 0 18.8% 18.3% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 40.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1