Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.02) 0.40 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 30.4% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lanus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 19.4% 7.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependienteLanus
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack25%63%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Lanus
HATHAT
Played141529141428
Wins50%20%34%50%21%36%
Draws29%47%38%36%36%36%
Loses21%33%28%14%43%29%

Form: Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWLDLLDLDLDDD • Lanus: LLWWDLDDDWDDDDWLLLLWWWDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Independiente Lanus
HATHAT
GF total19123116824
GF avg1.40.81.11.10.60.9
GA total7162391221
GA avg0.51.10.80.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependienteLanus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%59%57%61%
1.531%21%21%11%
2.510%0%4%4%
3.53%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependienteLanus
HATHAT
Clean sheets84126511
Failed to score47114812

Penalties

MetricIndependienteLanus
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricIndependienteLanus
Wins33
Draws14
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricIndependienteLanus
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Independiente or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente = 1.23 (league 1.02), Lanus = 0.40 (league 0.74)

Lanus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 19.4% 7.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 9.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1