Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 17:30 • Pedro Bidegain
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.02) 0.24 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 36.8% 9.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
1 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
San Martin S.J.
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo 0 29.4% 7.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack33%25%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Lorenzo San Martin S.J.
HATHAT
Played151530141327
Wins53%33%43%29%0%15%
Draws27%40%33%14%46%30%
Loses20%27%23%57%54%56%

Form: San Lorenzo: WWDDWWLWLDDWWDLDWWLWDDWLWDLDWL • San Martin S.J.: LDDDLLLWLLLLLWLLLWDLDWLDLDD

League goals

Metric San Lorenzo San Martin S.J.
HATHAT
GF total1512279413
GF avg1.00.80.90.60.30.5
GA total91221161329
GA avg0.60.80.71.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%30%70%
1.523%20%11%33%
2.53%0%7%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715448
Failed to score561191019

Penalties

MetricSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
Wins21
Draws23
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-32-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricSan LorenzoSan Martin S.J.
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total69.5%30.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : San Lorenzo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away6.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Lorenzo = 0.98 (league 1.02), San Martin S.J. = 0.24 (league 0.74)

San Martin S.J.
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo 0 29.4% 7.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1