Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:45 • Estadio José María Minella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.00) 2.17 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 18.3% 68.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.1%
0 - 1
12.1%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Independ. Rivadavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldosivi 0 5.6% 12.1% 13.1% 9.5% 5.1% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.7% 9.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack31%23%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aldosivi Independ. Rivadavia
HATHAT
Played141529151530
Wins21%20%21%33%27%30%
Draws36%7%21%40%40%40%
Loses43%73%59%27%33%30%

Form: Aldosivi: LLLLLDLDLWWDLLWWDLDLDLLLLLWWL • Independ. Rivadavia: WDWDLLDDWLWDDWWWLLWDLLDWLDDDDL

League goals

Metric Aldosivi Independ. Rivadavia
HATHAT
GF total111223161531
GF avg0.80.80.81.11.01.0
GA total222143181432
GA avg1.61.41.51.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%76%63%63%
1.531%52%30%33%
2.57%14%10%7%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376511
Failed to score89175611

Penalties

MetricAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
Wins23
Draws14
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-11-42-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against5342

Model comparison

MetricAldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Independ. Rivadavia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ 188Bet
Draw3.04 @ Marathonbet
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aldosivi = 0.72 (league 1.00), Independ. Rivadavia = 2.17 (league 0.74)

Independ. Rivadavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldosivi 0 5.6% 12.1% 13.1% 9.5% 5.1% 2.2%
1 4.0% 8.7% 9.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 68.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1