Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 19:45 • Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 0.99) 0.73 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 31.9% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense 0 16.2% 11.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlatenseSarmiento Junin
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack33%11%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Platense Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Played141933151429
Wins29%42%36%13%29%21%
Draws57%11%30%53%29%41%
Loses14%47%33%33%43%38%

Form: Platense: DWLWLDDLDWWLDWWLWWWWLDDDWLWLDLDLL • Sarmiento Junin: LDLDLWLDDDDDWLDDDDLWDLWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Platense Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
GF total13162912820
GF avg0.90.80.90.80.60.7
GA total122032161733
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlatenseSarmiento Junin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%52%69%
1.521%21%17%31%
2.50%9%0%7%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlatenseSarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611369
Failed to score56117714

Penalties

MetricPlatenseSarmiento Junin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricPlatenseSarmiento Junin
Wins42
Draws35
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-33-00-25-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricPlatenseSarmiento Junin
Form40%60%
Att75%25%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Platense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Platense = 1.09 (league 0.99), Sarmiento Junin = 0.73 (league 0.74)

Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense 0 16.2% 11.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1