Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.00) 1.46 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 26.3% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Velez Sarsfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 8.2% 12.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack30%80%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Velez Sarsfield
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%27%30%40%33%37%
Draws20%13%17%13%27%20%
Loses47%60%53%47%40%43%

Form: Gimnasia L.P.: LLLWDWWLDLDLDLLWLDWWLLWLLLWLLW • Velez Sarsfield: LLLDLLDLWWLLLWWLWDDLWWWDWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Velez Sarsfield
HATHAT
GF total12618131326
GF avg0.80.40.60.90.90.9
GA total181634131932
GA avg1.21.11.10.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%50%63%
1.57%37%30%30%
2.53%13%7%10%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets65115611
Failed to score510158715

Penalties

MetricGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
Wins23
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia L.P.Velez Sarsfield
Form46%54%
Att27%73%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Velez Sarsfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.95 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia L.P. = 1.04 (league 1.00), Velez Sarsfield = 1.46 (league 0.74)

Velez Sarsfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 8.2% 12.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1