Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.00) 0.73 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 31.5% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosario Central 0 15.8% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%67%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rosario Central San Lorenzo
HATHAT
Played171532171633
Wins65%53%59%53%38%45%
Draws29%40%34%24%38%30%
Loses6%7%6%24%25%24%

Form: Rosario Central: WWDWDWWLDWDWDWWWWLDWDDDWDDWWWWWW • San Lorenzo: WWDDWWLWLDDWWDLDWWLWDDWLWDLDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Rosario Central San Lorenzo
HATHAT
GF total241842161430
GF avg1.41.21.30.90.90.9
GA total10616101323
GA avg0.60.40.50.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%47%64%52%
1.541%3%24%18%
2.516%0%3%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets710179716
Failed to score2686612

Penalties

MetricRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
Wins42
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-22-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricRosario CentralSan Lorenzo
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rosario Central or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away4.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.32 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ 188Bet
No1.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rosario Central = 1.12 (league 1.00), San Lorenzo = 0.73 (league 0.74)

San Lorenzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosario Central 0 15.8% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1