Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Guillermo Laza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.00) 0.22 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 30.9% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.1%
0 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Riestra 0 24.1% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack75%88%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Riestra Independiente
HATHAT
Played151631171633
Wins53%31%42%53%19%36%
Draws47%31%39%24%44%33%
Loses0%38%19%24%38%30%

Form: Deportivo Riestra: WDWDDLDDDDWWLDDWLWLWLDWWWWWDDWL • Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWLDLLDLDLDDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Riestra Independiente
HATHAT
GF total161733251237
GF avg1.11.11.11.50.81.1
GA total3172091726
GA avg0.21.10.60.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%39%61%58%
1.529%16%33%21%
2.510%10%15%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
HATHAT
Clean sheets1361910414
Failed to score55105813

Penalties

MetricDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
Wins53
Draws43
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-02-3
Biggest losses—3-00-22-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo RiestraIndependiente
Form53%47%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Riestra or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 188Bet
Draw2.70 @ 10Bet
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.58 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Riestra = 1.20 (league 1.00), Independiente = 0.22 (league 0.74)

Independiente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Riestra 0 24.1% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1