Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Alberto José Armando
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.00) 0.98 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 30.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boca Juniors 0 13.7% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boca Juniors River Plate
HATHAT
Played161632181432
Wins63%44%53%56%36%47%
Draws25%25%25%17%50%31%
Loses13%31%22%28%14%22%

Form: Boca Juniors: DDWLWWWWWWLWWWLDWLDDLDWWWDDLWLWW • River Plate: DWDWDWWLWDDDDWWWWLWWDDWDWWLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Boca Juniors River Plate
HATHAT
GF total272249281745
GF avg1.71.41.51.61.21.4
GA total9152416824
GA avg0.60.90.80.90.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%72%53%
1.544%19%41%22%
2.519%0%19%0%
3.56%0%9%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
HATHAT
Clean sheets95147815
Failed to score246459

Penalties

MetricBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
Wins64
Draws24
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-10-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-22-0
Goals For5344
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boca Juniors = 1.02 (league 1.00), River Plate = 0.98 (league 0.74)

River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boca Juniors 0 13.7% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1