Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.00) 1.35 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 26.5% 40.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Independ. Rivadavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensa Y Justicia 0 7.7% 10.5% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%22%
Defense11%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Defensa Y Justicia Independ. Rivadavia
HATHAT
Played151631161632
Wins47%19%32%31%25%28%
Draws20%31%26%44%38%41%
Loses33%50%42%25%38%31%

Form: Defensa Y Justicia: LWWDWDLWWLLLDDLLDWLWDDWLLWDWLLL • Independ. Rivadavia: WDWDLLDDWLWDDWWWLLWDLLDWLDDDDLLD

League goals

Metric Defensa Y Justicia Independ. Rivadavia
HATHAT
GF total171532161632
GF avg1.10.91.01.01.01.0
GA total152439181735
GA avg1.01.51.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%71%63%63%
1.519%32%28%34%
2.53%16%9%9%
3.53%6%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497512
Failed to score2686612

Penalties

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
Wins23
Draws24
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-52-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-43-1
Goals For2533
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaIndepend. Rivadavia
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Independ. Rivadavia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away4.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Defensa Y Justicia = 1.20 (league 1.00), Independ. Rivadavia = 1.35 (league 0.74)

Independ. Rivadavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensa Y Justicia 0 7.7% 10.5% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 40.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1