Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Libertadores de América
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.00) 0.81 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 37.8% 37.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
0 - 1
19.8%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rosario Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 24.4% 19.8% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependienteRosario Central
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack50%50%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Rosario Central
HATHAT
Played171734181533
Wins53%24%38%61%53%58%
Draws24%41%32%33%40%36%
Loses24%35%29%6%7%6%

Form: Independiente: WWWLWDWDWDWDWDLLWWLDLLDLDLDDDLLWWW • Rosario Central: WWDWDWWLDWDWDWWWWLDWDDDWDDWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Independiente Rosario Central
HATHAT
GF total251338241842
GF avg1.50.81.11.31.21.3
GA total9172610616
GA avg0.51.00.80.60.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependienteRosario Central
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%56%73%45%
1.532%21%39%3%
2.515%0%15%0%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependienteRosario Central
HATHAT
Clean sheets1051581018
Failed to score5813369

Penalties

MetricIndependienteRosario Central
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total58

Streaks

MetricIndependienteRosario Central
Wins36
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-11-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricIndependienteRosario Central
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rosario Central and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente = 0.60 (league 1.00), Rosario Central = 0.81 (league 0.74)

Rosario Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente 0 24.4% 19.8% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1