Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 22:30 • Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.00) 0.49 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 33.5% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo 0 20.9% 10.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Lorenzo Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Played171734161531
Wins53%35%44%19%27%23%
Draws24%41%32%50%33%42%
Loses24%24%24%31%40%35%

Form: San Lorenzo: WWDDWWLWLDDWWDLDWWLWDDWLWDLDWLLWWD • Sarmiento Junin: LDLDLWLDDDDDWLDDDDLWDLWWLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric San Lorenzo Sarmiento Junin
HATHAT
GF total16143014923
GF avg0.90.80.90.90.60.7
GA total101323171835
GA avg0.60.80.71.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%50%55%71%
1.524%18%19%29%
2.53%0%0%6%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
HATHAT
Clean sheets9817369
Failed to score67137714

Penalties

MetricSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
Wins22
Draws25
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-25-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricSan LorenzoSarmiento Junin
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : San Lorenzo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 188Bet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away7.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Pinnacle
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Lorenzo = 1.08 (league 1.00), Sarmiento Junin = 0.49 (league 0.74)

Sarmiento Junin
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo 0 20.9% 10.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1