Carioca U20 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Aniceto Moscoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.50) 2.72 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 17.2% 34.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.8%
3 - 2
5.4%
2 - 3
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sampaio Correa FE U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madureira U20 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
2 1.6% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
5 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack70%70%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Madureira U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%60%0%30%
Draws20%40%30%40%40%40%
Loses60%40%50%0%60%30%

Form: Madureira U20: DLLWDLLDWL • Sampaio Correa FE U20: DDLWLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Madureira U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
HATHAT
GF total75127613
GF avg1.41.01.21.41.21.3
GA total1261821517
GA avg2.41.21.80.43.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%70%
1.530%40%40%50%
2.520%30%10%30%
3.510%10%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-1—
Biggest losses0-32-1—4-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against4214

Model comparison

MetricMadureira U20Sampaio Correa FE U20
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Madureira U20 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Marathonbet
Away4.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Madureira U20 = 2.80 (league 1.50), Sampaio Correa FE U20 = 2.72 (league 1.06)

Sampaio Correa FE U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madureira U20 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4%
2 1.6% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
5 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1