Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Marcelo Vieira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.51) 0.72 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 30.9% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nova Iguaçu U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense U20 0 15.2% 11.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack70%20%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense U20 Nova Iguaçu U20
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%60%50%40%0%20%
Draws20%20%20%20%0%10%
Loses40%20%30%40%100%70%

Form: Fluminense U20: DLWWLWLDWW • Nova Iguaçu U20: LLWDLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Fluminense U20 Nova Iguaçu U20
HATHAT
GF total4913538
GF avg0.81.81.31.00.60.8
GA total731051116
GA avg1.40.61.01.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%60%90%
1.540%30%20%40%
2.510%10%0%20%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score202134

Penalties

MetricFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-1
Biggest losses0-42-11-24-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricFluminense U20Nova Iguaçu U20
Form77%23%
Att78%22%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total76.3%23.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fluminense U20 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ 10Bet
Draw4.63 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Marathonbet
No1.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fluminense U20 = 1.16 (league 1.51), Nova Iguaçu U20 = 0.72 (league 1.17)

Nova Iguaçu U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense U20 0 15.2% 11.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1