Serie A — Italy
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.24) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 37.2% 27.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 23.2% 15.2% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolognaGenoa
Played33
Form33%22%
Attack14%14%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.31 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bologna Genoa
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%67%
Loses0%100%67%50%0%33%

Form: Bologna: LWL • Genoa: DLD

League goals

Metric Bologna Genoa
HATHAT
GF total101011
GF avg1.00.00.30.01.00.3
GA total022112
GA avg0.01.00.70.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolognaGenoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%33%67%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolognaGenoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricBolognaGenoa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBolognaGenoa
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses—1-00-1—
Goals For1001
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricBolognaGenoa
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bologna or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ 1xBet
Away5.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bologna = 0.80 (league 1.24), Genoa = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bologna 0 23.2% 15.2% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1