Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Giovanni Zini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.82 (league 1.24) 0.56 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 2.8% 1.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.3%
5 - 0
10.0%
3 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCremoneseParma
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack42%8%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.71 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 15 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cremonese Parma
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%67%

Form: Cremonese: WWD • Parma: LDL

League goals

Metric Cremonese Parma
HATHAT
GF total325101
GF avg3.01.01.71.00.00.3
GA total213145
GA avg2.00.51.01.02.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCremoneseParma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%33%100%
1.567%33%0%67%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCremoneseParma
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricCremoneseParma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCremoneseParma
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-2——
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For3210
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricCremoneseParma
Form88%13%
Att83%17%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total73.4%27.0%

Advice: Winner : Cremonese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cremonese = 4.82 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.56 (league 1.06)

Parma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cremonese 0 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 2.8% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1