Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.24) 2.76 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 13.6% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.7%
0 - 3
9.9%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 2.8% 7.8% 10.7% 9.9% 6.8% 3.8%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.0% 5.5% 3.0%
2 0.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaComo
Played33
Form22%44%
Attack22%33%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Como
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%100%67%50%0%33%
Loses100%0%33%0%100%33%

Form: Fiorentina: DDL • Como: WLD

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Como
HATHAT
GF total112303
GF avg1.00.50.71.50.01.0
GA total314112
GA avg3.00.51.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.50%33%33%0%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaComo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaComo
Wins01
Draws20
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses1-3——1-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaComo
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Como and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away2.93 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.81 (league 1.24), Como = 2.76 (league 1.09)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 2.8% 7.8% 10.7% 9.9% 6.8% 3.8%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.0% 5.5% 3.0%
2 0.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 71.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1