Serie A — Italy
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:30 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.24) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 31.8% 33.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
14.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 14.9% 14.0% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioAS Roma
Played33
Form33%67%
Attack31%15%
Defense77%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio AS Roma
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%67%50%0%33%

Form: Lazio: LWL • AS Roma: WWL

League goals

Metric Lazio AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total404112
GF avg4.00.01.30.51.00.7
GA total033101
GA avg0.01.51.00.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%67%33%
1.533%33%0%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricLazioAS Roma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLazioAS Roma
Wins12
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—1-00-1
Biggest losses—2-00-1—
Goals For4011
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricLazioAS Roma
Form33%67%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away2.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ SBO
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 0.96 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 0.94 (league 1.06)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 14.9% 14.0% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1