Serie A — Italy
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.23) 1.90 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.0% 17.8% 76.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 2
21.1%
0 - 3
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 11.7% 22.2% 21.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.4%
1 2.9% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
2 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceCagliari
Played33
Form11%44%
Attack20%60%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 22 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Cagliari
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%100%33%

Form: Lecce: DLL • Cagliari: DLW

League goals

Metric Lecce Cagliari
HATHAT
GF total011303
GF avg0.00.50.31.50.01.0
GA total246112
GA avg2.02.02.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceCagliari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%67%67%
1.50%67%33%0%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceCagliari
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLecceCagliari
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLecceCagliari
Wins00
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses0-24-1—1-0
Goals For0120
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricLecceCagliari
Form20%80%
Att25%75%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cagliari and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ 188Bet
Draw3.09 @ 1xBet
Away2.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Dafabet
No1.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.24 (league 1.23), Cagliari = 1.90 (league 1.05)

Cagliari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 11.7% 22.2% 21.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.4%
1 2.9% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
2 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.0% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 76.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1